Networking trends

Overview of NETWORKING trends

Networking will by 2040 lead to computers capable of human-like interaction and an internet a billion times more powerful than today’s

 

Top-down Networking will by 2040 result in supercomputers 30,000 times more powerful than today’s with human-level machine intelligence

  • Tightly-networked computer processors in the form of supercomputers permit the highest possible overall computing power to be gained from a given level of technology
  • By 2040 supercomputers should be at least 30,000 times more powerful than the best of today and pass the so-called Turing Test for human-level machine intelligence
  • Despite the likelihood of machine intelligence, the concept of a Singularity after which human progress accelerates beyond imagination is based on fundamental errors
  • The strategic advantages of access to human-level AI will lead to a form of arms-race not only amongst Defense Departments but potentially also well-funded religions
  • Corporations developing AI will focus on extremely-fast human-level intelligence that is easy to interact with rather than vastly-superior levels of machine intelligence

 

Bottom-up Networking will by 2040 lead to ‘ubiquitous computing’ and a ‘supernet’ a billion times more powerful than today’s internet

  • The concept of individual personal-computers will be replaced by so-called ‘ubiquitous computing’ in which almost every object contains an on-line processor
  • Today’s internet will continue to explode in terms of numbers of discrete devices and the increasing sophistication of those devices all linked in increasingly useful ways

 

Strong AI with the supernet will transform areas like education and health but also bring revolutions in virtual reality and social networking

  • Education goals will utterly change once most information is instantly available – and healthcare will likewise be transformed by on-line diagnosis and telemedicine
  • Readily-affordable Virtual Reality systems will be addictive as computer-generated environments and even relationships become superior to those offered in the real-world
  • Social networking systems will become immensely sophisticated as profile data is continuously mined and made available in real-time during real-world interactions

 

Inevitable Networking side-effects will lead to polarized intolerance, loss of privacy and demands for legal Rights of Access to the supernet

  • The supernet will polarize intolerance as those holding unrepresentative views are nevertheless able to avoid much exposure to ideas other than those similar to their own
  • Personal privacy will become far less about civil-liberties and much more about perceived fairness for supernet-users trading their privacy for free-access to providers
  • As the supernet becomes increasingly crucial, the international community will demand that the rights of service-providers are curtailed to protect Rights of Access

 

The net effect of Digitization augmented by Networking is a global economy driven by AI and the supernet – and inexplicable without them