Ease and Impact
As soon as the Global Guilds begin to form, the Viral Spread of decentralized Progressive Refinement will begin to realign countless systems throughout the global economy. In a very similar way to how decentralized Boundaryless People-Power can achieve complex coordination – even in revolutions or riots – that no single group orchestrates (a phenomenon technically known as Emergence), the international community will, in effect, informally ‘agree’ how to reduce the probability of the most likely global crises. In the process it will boost the collective security of the Global Guilds.
Many ideas already exist for countering most individual types of backlash. But to coordinate all those together in ways that do not undermine each other – such as proposals for addressing peaking-oil that in fact end up resulting in increased carbon-emissions – it is necessary to understand linkages that currently remain either completely hidden or are so complicated as to be unintelligible. Here is where the Global Guilds can speed the process by injecting some pragmatism into the initial selections made of proposals suitable for decentralized Progressive Refinement (proposed by member-corporations, the general public, governments and others). It all comes down to Ease and Impact.
Some proposed initiatives will only ever be expected to have a low impact on Guild-members – others, a high impact. Similarly, once people take account of the full reality of how a Guild’s industries actually operate, some initiatives will be seen to fit well and so will be easy to implement – whereas others run counter to all sorts of Legacy Effects, so will be hard to make work. Most corporate (and government) plans ideally aim to tackle problems that will be Easy but also High-Impact. The trouble is, those types of initiatives have nearly always already been done. They were the ‘low hanging fruit’ of earlier programs. What happens as a result is that eager planners then propose all sorts of follow-up initiatives that are Easy but are in fact Low-Impact. Unfortunately, those sorts of initiatives can never get to the root of the problems the community faces.
This is a very common challenge that the Global Guilds need to overcome. Over the years, I have evaluated several hundred proposals for major change-initiatives and, although they each tended initially to look good on paper, when I analyzed how well they would mesh with the hidden workings of the communities they were destined for, I often found that those proposing the ideas had fallen into the trap of addressing Easy but Low-Impact initiatives. Typically they had completely missed any chance of finding shared ways of removing barriers common to several High-Impact-but-Difficult initiatives.
Global Guilds need to encourage their members to coalesce around solving High-Impact but Difficult problems – namely countering the combined impacts of Capitalism, Industrialization, Population, Religion, High-Tech, and Globalization backlashes all taken together. It is that highly-complex but deeply-interconnected problem than the Global Guilds have the collective ability to solve, far better than any territorially-focused governments ever can.